No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $77.96
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.12
Polymarket Trader
reconstruct
0x7d45855546a6c94acf37fe0c39ddc12d41faa3bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.96
- Realized PnL
- $11.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Yoon arrested by Friday?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.8% 78 shares
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No 99.8% 37 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 89 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 98.7% 34.04 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?No 99.8% 58.92 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?No 99.5% 65 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes 97.9% 32.19 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No 98.7% 31.51 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?No 99.9% 22.1 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?No 99.6% 75.62 shares