Polymarket Trader

0x7d4d...96f3

0x7d4d191db2a29407319b993dbfe21fa03bae96f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $104.91
Realized PnL: $22.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $160.99
Potential profit: $158.82
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.4

Under position

England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.33
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $40.42
Potential profit: $35.77
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $29.58
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $12.71
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $15.86
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $17.27
Potential profit: $7.26
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $11.21
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $8.98
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.2%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $12.47
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.6%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $12.02
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $5.76
Potential profit: $5.53
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Trump out as President by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 4.3% 5.76 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 40.1% 12.47 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 35.7% 14.01 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41.6% 12.02 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 6.72 shares
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 6% 83.33 shares
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Yes 57.9% 17.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 12% 40.42 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares