Polymarket Trader

0xLuck

0x7d51f58c68b427d113d5c84b508161d4e0286f1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.82
Realized PnL: $4.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $11.91K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $474.33
Potential profit: $474.33
User PnL: -$262.03

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $50.39
Potential payout: $157.46
Potential profit: $107.07
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$5.61

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $34.68
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $16.32
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.51

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$36.59

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.54

No position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.08

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.72

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.87

Yes position

Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.75

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.49

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.19

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.98

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.2

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.49

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.01

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.04

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.72

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.5

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.76

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.52

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.69

No position

Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.54

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.66

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.15

No position

Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.97

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

No position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 70% 26 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 35% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 0.17 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 32% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 34% 34.46 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 48 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 72% 29.99 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 65% 10 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 85% 10 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 10 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares