Polymarket Trader

peter239784

0x7d58986f00b3c00e9b24d02f8e35381ca154cfcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.63K
Realized PnL: $43.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $40.01K
Potential profit: $39.98K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$60.05

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.7K
Potential profit: $34.7K
User PnL: -$235.81

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $195.03
Potential payout: $30.01K
Potential profit: $29.81K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$95.03

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $45.01
Potential payout: $30.01K
Potential profit: $29.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$25.05

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $135.02
Potential payout: $30.01K
Potential profit: $29.87K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$25.02

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $153.62
Potential payout: $21.95K
Potential profit: $21.79K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$235.28

Yes position

Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.5K
Potential profit: $20.5K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $90.02
Potential payout: $20.01K
Potential profit: $19.91K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $39.95

Yes position

Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76K
Potential profit: $17.76K
User PnL: -$733.44

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $960.78
Potential payout: $17.01K
Potential profit: $16.04K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $41.71

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $15.01K
Potential profit: $15K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.57

Yes position

Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $10.85K
User PnL: -$151.93

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75K
Potential profit: $10.75K
User PnL: -$112.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $8.16K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $235.85

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45.02
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$25.05

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $8.83K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $315.51

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $165.08
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.84K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45.02
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$35.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $8.63K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$264.39

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55.03
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $85.04
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.92K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$25.03

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $235.12
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $65.04

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.5K
Potential profit: $9.5K
User PnL: -$693.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.52K
Potential profit: $8.52K
User PnL: -$42.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

No position

Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $892.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.84

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $776.63

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.01

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.59

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.61

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.4

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 18.9% 53.03 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 47.5% 63.15 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 28.5% 17.54 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 21.2% 47.17 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 8.8% 113.3 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 10.6% 94.02 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 5.4% 100.99 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 5% 200 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 26.7% 74.8 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 69% 5 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 77% 183.2 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 14.2% 70.42 shares