Polymarket Trader

kaj43

0x7d607701278238ed55b82f6bc06536343b6203d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.74
Realized PnL: $377.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $12.99
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$109.09

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.64
Potential profit: $578.64
User PnL: -$63.65

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.31
Potential profit: $456.31
User PnL: -$310.29

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$385.6

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.44
Potential profit: $383.44
User PnL: -$90.09

No position

Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.85
Potential profit: $300.85
User PnL: -$117.33

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$121.99

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $58.17
Potential payout: $71.77
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $54.71

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $43.47
Potential profit: $40.88
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $5.74
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.34K

Yes position

Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.42K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.78K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03K

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.34K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4K

No position

Will the England vs. India match end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.44K

Alcaraz position

French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45K

Yes position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.6K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.41K

Yes position

Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46K

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61K

Yes position

Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09K

Oilers position

NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88K

Yes position

Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14K

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers be Eastern Conference champions?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

Yes position

Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

No position

Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69K

Stars position

NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Panthers

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 29% 6,094.04 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 27% 629.65 shares
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Yes 6.2% 1,747.66 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

No 47.3% 300 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 15% 1,039.5 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 52.8% 100 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 13.3% 736.56 shares
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 3.3% 2,336.26 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.1% 1,890 shares
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

No 67% 16.96 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 29.5% 109.23 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 27.9% 131.76 shares