Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $28.25
- Potential payout
- $50.9
- Potential profit
- $22.65
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Polymarket Trader
hernandezarthur
0x7d62b8a34a407fc2e68c582f1836c7d9de6d72cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.25
- Realized PnL
- $86.75
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
XRP all time high by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ethereum all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?Yes 51% 50.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 28?Yes 26.4% 13.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?No 48% 12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?Up 38% 22.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?No 66% 35.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?Yes 28% 20.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?No 63% 25.16 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 205.43 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 205.44 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99.6% 211.99 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99.7% 212 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18?No 99.3% 29.67 shares