0x7d64...f001

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $52.21
Potential profit: $52.13
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.02
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $47.5
Potential profit: $47.29
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $40.35
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $36.18
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.57
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.62
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will FURIA win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.46
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.62
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $35.62
Potential profit: $35.26
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $35.6
Potential profit: $35.46
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $35.34
Potential profit: $35.22
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $31.83
Potential profit: $31.36
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $50 on July 1?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.54
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $29.67
Potential profit: $29.39
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.44
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.43
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.5
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.46
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.32
Potential profit: $28.32
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $28.29
Potential profit: $28.16
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.2
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.05
Potential profit: $25.05
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.13

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will South Korea be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?