Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.86
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Polymarket Trader
Nackos
0x7d981ee78a797888c5c8d27a4a7f9415258c292a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.13
- Realized PnL
- $64.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $366.57
- Potential profit
- $363.09
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.52
No position
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.77
- Potential profit
- $162.77
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $26.78
- Potential payout
- $153.05
- Potential profit
- $126.27
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$55.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $64.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 54% 153.05 shares
- Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?No 12.1% 162.77 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 3.5% 566.11 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.8% 366.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes 0.6% 5,545.62 shares