Polymarket Trader

0x7d998F122BF8CF15a47C315D2fb97F74D0b743B2-1773781272826

0x7d998f122bf8cf15a47c315d2fb97f74d0b743b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.25
Realized PnL: $217.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $88.65
Potential payout: $190.63
Potential profit: $101.99
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$31.35

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $178.4
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $149.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $20.88
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $114.26
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $83.02
Potential profit: $78.58
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$6.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 62.9% 190.63 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.8% 135.14 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.3% 188.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 84% 711.9 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 76% 263.16 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 67% 149.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 71% 140.85 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 12.9% 75.21 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Yes 12.8% 7.81 shares