Polymarket Trader

lilith275

@twinkwastaken

0x7db008f9288780a12451082acdf0e3d383fc8c18

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.12K
Realized PnL: $9.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $341.4
Potential payout: $669.4
Potential profit: $328.01
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $66.94

Yes position

Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $59.5
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $290.5
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$192.9

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $85.52
Potential payout: $231.13
Potential profit: $145.61
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$11.65

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $171
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $29.1

No position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $112.54
Potential payout: $156.31
Potential profit: $43.77
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $31.84

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $118.67
Potential payout: $133.34
Potential profit: $14.67
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $42.77

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$4.62

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46.7

No position

Will there be 3+ Pentakills at MSI?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $55.79
Potential payout: $68.88
Potential profit: $13.09
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.78

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $46.61
Potential payout: $54.2
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $6.42

No position

Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $39.45
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.74

No position

Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.81
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $679.56

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.58

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $501.78

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.74

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $304.83

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.01

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.31

No position

Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.64

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.7

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.17

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $169.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.88

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 59% 31.15 shares
Will there be 3+ Pentakills at MSI?

No 79% 8.88 shares
Will there be 3+ Pentakills at MSI?

No 79% 50 shares
Will there be 3+ Pentakills at MSI?

No 75% 10 shares
Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 95% 32.11 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

No 66% 132 shares
Will Paraguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 85% 20 shares
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 135.25 shares
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 195 shares
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 5.6 shares
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 1,566.99 shares
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 98.55 shares