Polymarket Trader

frevel

0x7db110f2b108a77e478c7b7b89201aff0206802e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.5
Realized PnL: $2.68
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $55.81
Potential profit: $37.95
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$2.34

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $29.91
Potential profit: $23.12
Multiplier: 4.41x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 8.26x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Davos position

NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Davos

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next video?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Thank You" during his next video?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 33% 12.91 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 34% 12.91 shares
NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Davos

Davos 65% 1.51 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.1% 5.34 shares
NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Davos

Davos 48% 2.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Down 57% 1.65 shares
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 82.5% 12.12 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 73% 15.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up 76% 6.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Up 29% 6.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Up 48% 9.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 23% 25.49 shares