No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.44K
- Potential profit
- $49.44K
- User PnL
- -$171.69
Polymarket Trader
testiclepulveriser
0x7db2ee2b58c0eb9dc908d0b261852a37002c3ce5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.82K
- Realized PnL
- $13.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.3%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.37x
- User PnL
- -$50.75
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $770.19
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $208.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $129.3
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $32.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $750.01
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $40.41
- Potential payout
- $690.8
- Potential profit
- $650.39
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $57.66
- Potential payout
- $328.52
- Potential profit
- $270.87
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $9.66
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.1%
- Current value
- $78.73
- Potential payout
- $271
- Potential profit
- $192.28
- Multiplier
- 3.44x
- User PnL
- -$21.27
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $38.19
- Potential payout
- $206.97
- Potential profit
- $168.79
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $21.9
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.65
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.62
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.16
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $638.69
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.77
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $543.91
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.47
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.27
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.7
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.07
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.92
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.78
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 6.6% 1,460.97 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 80% 122.15 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.9% 781.32 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.1% 4,644.1 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 85% 361.9 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 3,080.81 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 14.6% 328.52 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 368.23 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 70.7% 361.9 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 6% 4,416.07 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 12.5% 4,416.08 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 60% 969.55 shares