MarioLu

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $363.01
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $237
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $298
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$47.95

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $325.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $74.04
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $105.52

Yes position

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$27.54

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $32.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $367.8
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$57.4

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$67.53

No position

Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $383.94
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30.05

No position

Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 8.9%
Current value: $32.83
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $338.17
Multiplier: 11.30x
User PnL: -$22.22

No position

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $104.08
Potential payout: $358.91
Potential profit: $254.82
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $69.91
Potential payout: $341.01
Potential profit: $271.1
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$87.8

No position

Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $223.73
Potential payout: $291.5
Potential profit: $67.77
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $15.91

No position

Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $160.8
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $107.2
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $20.82

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $139.23
Potential payout: $238
Potential profit: $98.77
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $15.47

Yes position

Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $229
Potential profit: $226.25
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$23.52

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $224.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$70.42

Yes position

Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $7.01
Potential payout: $219
Potential profit: $211.99
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $172.27
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $41.73
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $37.45
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $176.55
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $13.03

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $49.46
Potential payout: $190.98
Potential profit: $141.51
Multiplier: 3.86x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $184
Potential profit: $152
Multiplier: 5.75x
User PnL: -$54.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.84

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.93

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.4

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.07

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.65

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.54

Yes position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.84

No position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.68

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.23

No position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.66

Yes position

Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.38

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.11

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.9

Yes position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.84

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.29

No position

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.6

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.42

Yes position

Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.51

No position

Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.86

Yes position

Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Yes position

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.51

No position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.28

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.08

No position

Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?