Polymarket Trader

doubtit

0x7dce96e76b248b2220be03e09629f899ee884682

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $379.38
Realized PnL: $2.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.33K
Potential profit: $7.33K
User PnL: -$353.63

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $5.96K
User PnL: -$57.93

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.34

No position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
User PnL: -$112.25

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$154.34

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.39

Yes position

Will Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$124.83

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$25.47

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $207.92
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $915.98
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$20.47

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $926.69
Potential profit: $926.69
User PnL: -$22.31

Yes position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892.9
Potential profit: $892.9
User PnL: -$95.77

Yes position

Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $691.56
Potential profit: $691.56
User PnL: -$72.74

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624
Potential profit: $624
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $619.04
Potential profit: $618.11
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$36.21

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $560
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $162.4
Potential payout: $550.52
Potential profit: $388.12
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.48
Potential profit: $523.48
User PnL: -$18.05

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486
Potential profit: $486
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.9
Potential profit: $462.9
User PnL: -$45.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.5
Potential profit: $433.5
User PnL: -$25.17

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $428
Potential profit: $422.65
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.07

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.25

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.93

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.17

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.04

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.37

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $65.72

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.63

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.45

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.54

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.37

Yes position

Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.04

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.88

Yes position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.64

Up position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.67

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.86

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.83

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.59

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 9.34 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18.4% 169 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Yes 38% 10 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Yes 37% 7.08 shares
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 31% 23.22 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Yes 47% 63 shares
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Yes 22.7% 18 shares
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Yes 12% 85 shares
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 4.4% 61 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 59% 21.47 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 38% 25.34 shares
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?

Yes 7.9% 85 shares