No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $35.82
- Potential payout
- $45.06
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Polymarket Trader
0x7de9...c394
0x7de9f756c49e25731558c228b8fb312d006dc394
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $147.97
- Realized PnL
- $13.42
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $17.11
- Potential payout
- $44.43
- Potential profit
- $27.32
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $15.31
- Potential payout
- $36.84
- Potential profit
- $21.53
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $25.73
- Potential payout
- $30.81
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $30.23
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $26.16
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $21.51
- Potential payout
- $27.95
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $10.34
- Potential payout
- $24.92
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $19.71
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $3.98
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $8.34
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.2% 194.62 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.5% 33.11 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.3% 62.27 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 33.3% 99.11 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 5.6% 31.71 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 34% 24.38 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 76.9% 93.3 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 72.8% 29.4 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 58.6% 27.74 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.4% 36.26 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 3% 107.99 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 55.3% 135.51 shares