Enginager

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $15.68
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $438.86
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $5.68

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $168.97
Potential profit: $160.6
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $12.42
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $72.33
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $64.89
Potential profit: $55.9
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $57.58
Potential payout: $58.11
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $48.42
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $40.73
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $44.34
Potential payout: $44.39
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $9.06
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $31.1
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $29.72
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $4.72

Yes position

Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $17.15
Potential payout: $22.26
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $21.31
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $13.59
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.58
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $11.16
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $8.44
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $10.84
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.33

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?