No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
mstraw
0x7dfd9a06a07703660dc526973f164fa3a65f002b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.26
- Realized PnL
- $23.71
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Melania say "Somalia" during Security Council events on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.93
- Potential profit
- $60.93
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 53% 1.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 42% 2.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 76% 9.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 80% 6.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETUp 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?Yes 21% 33.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Yes 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Melania say "Somalia" during Security Council events on March 2?No 3.3% 60.93 shares