Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $68.75
- Potential profit
- $68.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Polymarket Trader
cmrl
0x7e0b6bf7d79142d1c913094765203e01fb8ce169
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.34
- Realized PnL
- $193.18
- Win rate
- 57.9%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $63.2
- Potential profit
- $63.17
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $60.74
- Potential profit
- $58.61
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.63
- Potential payout
- $50.66
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $41.08
- Potential payout
- $43.45
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $39.31
- Potential profit
- $36.56
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $38.89
- Potential profit
- $37.43
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $30.8
- Potential profit
- $30.65
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $17.38
- Potential payout
- $25.94
- Potential profit
- $8.56
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.97
- Potential payout
- $24.98
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $14.87
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $13.54
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $9.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $141.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$20.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?Yes 5.4% 38.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 93.9% 43.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?Yes 8.9% 39.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 7% 11.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?No 11.2% 33.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 5% 3.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?No 5.7% 4.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 8% 58.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98% 1.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 23.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 23.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?Yes 98.5% 36.31 shares