No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $648.75
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$455.7
Polymarket Trader
Poliabie
0x7e0fb682362d90dbe3cc59835b65ed774ff949a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $648.75
- Realized PnL
- $81.3
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions position
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.25
- Potential profit
- $166.25
- User PnL
- -$76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.11
- Potential profit
- $38.11
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.61
- Potential profit
- $29.61
- User PnL
- -$10.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.85
Clippers position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.12
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.69
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65.5% 1,517.34 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 65.6% 167.73 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 58% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 22% 4.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown 39% 24.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown 26% 38.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown 35% 29.61 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 4.3% 76.92 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 26% 76.92 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes 2.5% 784.43 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes 1.8% 1,092.18 shares
- Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 30.2% 66.25 shares