No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $179.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $195.05
Polymarket Trader
qchuang
0x7e11b7dccc94c68e9c8088a524556338fcf28c04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.48K
- Realized PnL
- $4.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$562.58
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682.09
- Potential profit
- $682.09
- User PnL
- -$43.36
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.78
- Potential profit
- $666.78
- User PnL
- -$392.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433
- Potential profit
- $433
- User PnL
- -$162.78
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.9
- Potential profit
- $358.9
- User PnL
- -$290.71
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $288.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.75
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $182.85
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $47.15
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.8
- Potential profit
- $156.8
- User PnL
- -$109.76
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.55
- Potential profit
- $138.55
- User PnL
- -$40.8
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.33
- Potential profit
- $98.33
- User PnL
- -$59
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $62.99
- Potential payout
- $62.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.49
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$12.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $995.26
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.02
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.6
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.18
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.77
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.66
Yes position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.98
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.17
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.87
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.83
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.82
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.26
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.6
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.1
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.06
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Trail Blazers position
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 77% 62.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 230 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 70.9% 130 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 71.8% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98% 408.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 80% 233 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 60% 98.33 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 629.99 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 95.5% 3,269.8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 300 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 70% 156.8 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 4,304.24 shares