Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $72.22
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$27.78
Polymarket Trader
Mangofan2008
0x7e12621d15ece2849684dd409f9abba6480aef6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.72
- Realized PnL
- $297.42
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Miami position
Miami vs. Indiana
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.48
- Potential profit
- $182.48
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.5
- Potential profit
- $107.5
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.14
- Potential profit
- $76.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.16
- Potential profit
- $52.16
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $19.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Yoon in jail before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.38
No position
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.21
Bills position
Chiefs vs. Bills
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.7
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.93
Broncos position
Broncos vs. Texans
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.38
TCU position
Baylor vs. TCU
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.56
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.95
Cardinals position
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.93
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.27
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Rockets
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Washington position
Washington vs. Michigan
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?Yes 2.4% 333.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Miami vs. IndianaMiami 26% 384.62 shares
- Will Nick Emmanowori be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?Yes 3% 333.33 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 27.4% 182.48 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes 20% 194.16 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes 40% 107.5 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?Yes 47.9% 52.16 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes 98.8% 68.75 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No 40% 32.5 shares