Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $30.94
- Potential payout
- $562.51
- Potential profit
- $531.57
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $14.66
Polymarket Trader
luffyland
0x7e1a8251a0e5d506c97929a6d161bd2254b9d5a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.07
- Realized PnL
- $3.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $107.34
- Potential profit
- $101.6
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.36
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.35
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $70.68
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $65.75
- Potential profit
- $63.42
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $55.41
- Potential profit
- $54.99
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $44.34
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $8.54
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $34.93
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $37.54
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $40.87
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $35.32
- Potential profit
- $30.89
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.84
- Potential payout
- $30.72
- Potential profit
- $26.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.84
- Potential profit
- $23.84
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.45
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- User PnL
- -$2.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.52
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.55
No position
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.37
Frech position
Qatar Total Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Magdalena Frech
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.49
No position
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.31
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.12
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.68
No position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.79
Yes position
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.12
No position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.97
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors position
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.55
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.83
Yes position
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.68
Under position
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.99
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.84
Yes position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.67
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.58
No position
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.77
Yes position
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.65
Imperial position
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO5) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.02
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.87
No position
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.78
G2 Ares position
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.22
Over position
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.74
No position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?Yes 99.5% 38.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?Yes 20% 15.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?Yes 25% 15.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?Yes 97.1% 23.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?Yes 20% 3.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?Yes 16% 42.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?Yes 16% 11.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on June 19?Yes 99.9% 37.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 90.9 shares