Polymarket Trader

manalos

0x7e2437ec55a7f8d6a7e97aea37611e32880fa03d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $34.46
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.12
Potential profit: $71.12
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.8
Potential profit: $34.8
User PnL: -$17.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.43
Potential profit: $30.43
User PnL: -$20.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "India" or "Pakistan" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 15+ times during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift say "Eras Tour" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Rangers position

Braves vs. Rangers

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.26

No position

Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.33

Cubs position

Cubs vs. White Sox

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Yes 67% 30.43 shares
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Yes 25% 13 shares
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Yes 47.8% 71.12 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 29% 10 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 33% 6 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 34% 20 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 39% 10 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 40% 15 shares
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

No 1.4% 110 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 44% 10 shares
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?

No 45% 30 shares