Polymarket Trader

0x7e312e5eAEda69EcBbE1961c7aCedbdd27b40f90-1730827829846

0x7e312e5eaeda69ecbbe1961c7acedbdd27b40f90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.22
Realized PnL: $1.1K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Solana reach $340 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $788.91
Potential profit: $788.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.16
Potential profit: $601.16
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.91
Potential profit: $483.91
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.13
Potential profit: $204.13
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Solana reach $290 in August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.76
Potential profit: $195.76
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Solana reach $250 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.87
Potential profit: $185.87
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $176
User PnL: -$58.08

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $72.7
Potential payout: $143.95
Potential profit: $71.26
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$27.3

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $108.11
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $80.43
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$13.48

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.89

Yes position

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.51

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.78

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

Will Solana reach $210 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.86

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.9% 71.42 shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 277.78 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 23% 86.96 shares
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 69.5% 143.95 shares
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Yes 48.8% 41 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?

Yes 7.3% 273.51 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Yes 37% 108.11 shares
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?

Yes 9.5% 210.4 shares
Will Solana reach $210 in August?

Yes 27.8% 71.86 shares