Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $14.03K
- Potential payout
- $18.92K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $9.78K
Polymarket Trader
Odysseus7
0x7e31a5e9c31638483614e9fd9f945bb34692454d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.63K
- Realized PnL
- $55.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 31
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $82.5
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14K
- Potential profit
- $14K
- User PnL
- -$227.48
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $7.31K
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$139.94
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.67K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $735.7
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$436.72
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $63.2
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$36.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $439.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- User PnL
- $10.47
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $547.12
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $951.83
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $212.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $157.5
- Potential payout
- $899.98
- Potential profit
- $742.48
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $837.42
- Potential profit
- $837.42
- User PnL
- -$278.82
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $139.21
- Potential payout
- $409.44
- Potential profit
- $270.23
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $10.69
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.47
- Potential profit
- $400.47
- User PnL
- -$238.57
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$126
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$84
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $192.1
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$55.3
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7.8
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- User PnL
- -$68.66
No position
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $66.21
- Potential payout
- $79.96
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.73
- Potential profit
- $63.73
- User PnL
- -$41.33
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.63
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- User PnL
- -$7.08
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.6
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $8.31
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- User PnL
- -$2.98
No position
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $8.99
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14K
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $949.53
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.82
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.67
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.3
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.24
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.23
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.13
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.22
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.67
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.91
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.08
No position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $655.55
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.23
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $630.16
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.39
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $624.61
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.43
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.88
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.1
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.58
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.49
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.78
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.86
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.85
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $492
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.57
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.69
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.37
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.05
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.62
No position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.18
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.82
No position
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.44
Yes position
John Rustad out as Leader of the Opposition in BC by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.7
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 1,610.3 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.4% 542.37 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 44% 2,299.99 shares
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No 78.6% 8.74 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 76.6% 761.32 shares
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes 44% 65 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 1.5% 209.75 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 55% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 98.6% 320.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84.6% 57.68 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 96% 3,016.19 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No 96.2% 135.91 shares