Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Polymarket Trader
smhben43424562
0x7e489086f20a0bda8b65aa152a89ddf6d7591c49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $0.87
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.52
- Potential profit
- $13.52
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.65
- Potential profit
- $12.65
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 10?No 23% 0.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?No 30% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?No 25% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 2?No 8.7% 11.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 2?No 25% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 2?No 19.7% 5.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?No 38% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?No 40% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?No 1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?No 58% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?No 75% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1?Yes 3% 13.33 shares