Polymarket Trader

00088000

0x7e500adfb672f6d6b5c3c34b468c9cf0f9373912

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $258.61
Realized PnL: $321.64
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $987.5
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $972.47
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $996.32
Potential profit: $984.36
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $67.38
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $282.63
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $12.38

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.7
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$17.7

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.38
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.88
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $66.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $133.1
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $22.6

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $144.29
Potential profit: $143.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.15
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $85.44
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $9.55

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.88
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.87

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $29.44

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.75

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $13.65

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.84

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Over position

Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 2?

Yes 0.9% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 2?

Yes 0.8% 40 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 2?

Yes 6.9% 20 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 2?

Yes 5.1% 2 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 250 shares
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

No 90% 5.77 shares
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 29.5 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Yes 26% 10 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 9% 12 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 13% 5 shares
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

31.5% 10.34 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 100 shares