Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
emileber
0x7e55903907457105364dc537627af34bdc7b657a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.26
- Realized PnL
- $23.36
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $45.73
- Potential payout
- $186.66
- Potential profit
- $140.93
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $15.73
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $72.2
- Potential payout
- $97.57
- Potential profit
- $25.37
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $32.2
No position
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.33
- Potential profit
- $97.33
- User PnL
- -$14.17
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $88.39
- Potential profit
- $77.56
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$16.57
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $52.08
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $15.51
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 15.7% 26.56 shares
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 15.4% 32.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 18.8% 53.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 97.56 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 87% 40.81 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 69% 67.34 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 31% 88.39 shares
- Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13.1% 38.31 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 29% 51.72 shares