Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $480.77
- Potential payout
- $38.46K
- Potential profit
- $37.98K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Polymarket Trader
Adrian3710 - 24718
0x7e5671131f399b9dec3d923ce14474ad99fd984a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $949.48
- Realized PnL
- $606.94
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.16K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- User PnL
- -$592.99
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $196
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $213.33
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$186.66
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $59.38
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $565.63
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$40.63
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.96
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $333.5
No position
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.9
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$37.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 166,666.66 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 38,461.54 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 35% 3,980.25 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 36% 3,980.25 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 8,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.2% 3,981.96 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 2,222.22 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.5% 3,981.97 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 166,666.67 shares