Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.82K
- Potential profit
- $7.82K
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
hopetester
0x7e6315556653144b265b1ce0bcca90afcb9a4268
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.97
- Realized PnL
- $5.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $190.26
- Potential payout
- $809.63
- Potential profit
- $619.37
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$59.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.04
- Potential profit
- $368.04
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $301.69
- Potential profit
- $301.69
- User PnL
- -$119.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.57
- Potential profit
- $128.57
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.73
- Potential profit
- $72.73
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.17
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $14.76
- Potential profit
- $11.51
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.81
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.79
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.18
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.38
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.44
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.88
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.89
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.37
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.74
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.34
No position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.37
No position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.54
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.74
Yes position
Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 8.1% 381.24 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 9.6% 104.17 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 9.6% 52.08 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes 8.9% 225 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 61.3% 8.16 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 67.6% 59.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 45% 7.82 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 40.8% 36.75 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 43.8% 68.49 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 66.6% 150.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 65.8% 76.04 shares