Polymarket Trader

mani22b

0x7e64d6470b2a5dbeaea5e068a2cd84b85168f51a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $357.04
Realized PnL: $611.08
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $303.48
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $818.45
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$8.14

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $53.56
Potential payout: $411.99
Potential profit: $358.43
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$98.92

Yes position

Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.93
Potential profit: $319.93
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$144

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.67

No position

Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.34

No position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $75.06

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.8

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.75

No position

Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.58

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.64

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.53

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 48% 39.48 shares
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 19% 421 shares
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 99.9% 809.62 shares
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 95.6% 84.63 shares
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Yes 99.9% 747.62 shares
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Yes 99.8% 747.62 shares
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 18% 7.59 shares
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 39% 90 shares
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 94% 974.51 shares
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 33% 290.3 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 95.8% 100 shares
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares