Polymarket Trader

Lunardew

0x7e66ca4ce0fd1874b217d03e11c008308203b77a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.11
Realized PnL: $845.42
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.27
Potential profit: $86.27
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$2.58

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $5.1
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.57

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: $33.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 88.9% 20.25 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 85% 22.34 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 94% 22.34 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5

Under 56% 1,803.57 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 350.87 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 350.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 5.2% 29.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 18% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 26% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Yes 54% 50 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?

No 98.5% 50.76 shares