No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $574.78K
- Potential profit
- $574.78K
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
Polymarket Trader
0x7E8021A1A5cCF5bA9a65503Aff69C6448b5cC229-1775523553907
0x7e8021a1a5ccf5ba9a65503aff69c6448b5cc229
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.76
- Realized PnL
- $933.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.76K
- Potential profit
- $28.76K
- User PnL
- -$199.91
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.29K
- Potential profit
- $11.29K
- User PnL
- -$138.45
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35K
- Potential profit
- $7.35K
- User PnL
- -$99.98
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.87K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.75K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $29.76
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$186.22
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- User PnL
- -$20.99
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$103.76
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.44
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.33
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.76
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Up position
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes 5% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 142.86 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 12.4% 40.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 5.1% 98.25 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 2.9% 173.24 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes 3.1% 162.1 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.4% 78.13 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 8.2% 122.53 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 7.7% 129.97 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.8% 607.18 shares