Yes position
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $24.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175.3
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Polymarket Trader
leslukas11
0x7e80fca8bf7a3e61fd8d2bd7f5e585fec457f17a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.07
- Realized PnL
- $13.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $29.57
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $29.21
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $898
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $865.17
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $678.4
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.59
No position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.6
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $573
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.4
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.67
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.17
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472
Yes position
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.19
Jodar position
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Rafael Jodar
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.56
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $435.15
No position
Will between 5 and 8 participants make a final pair?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.87
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $398
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.7
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.8
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.6
Under 3.5 position
Tien vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $349.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No 28% 22 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 76% 105 shares
- Trump kiss by May 31?No 6% 1,000 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 99% 1,399.99 shares
- Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Yes 30% 1,149.58 shares
- Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?No 68.9% 452.37 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No 58.4% 70.35 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No 54% 300 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No 36.3% 68.51 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No 36.2% 6.17 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No 36.4% 6.17 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?No 36.5% 36.91 shares