Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $899.55
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Polymarket Trader
LeninLenin
0x7e92d25ffd5f138d31d9c57fb083393d3e2ac6ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25
- Realized PnL
- -$45.17
- Win rate
- 10.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $34.16
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.07
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.32
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $14.07
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.7%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $7.84
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.93
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will George Russell win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?No 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 5.6% 35.71 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 1, 2026?No 9% 11.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 15?No 77% 6.34 shares