Polymarket Trader

orange11677

0x7ea5a242131ae0e7ff106d9201309fa6f3e15ed4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.7K
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $42.51K
Potential profit: $40.81K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $45.61

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$48

No position

Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $9.71K
User PnL: -$97.08

Yes position

Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$360

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$12.59

Yes position

Will Tom Cotton win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$46.61

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$103

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$24

Mets position

Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?

Ends Oct 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.55

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.38

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.62

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.43

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.8% 3,000 shares
US recession in 2025?

No 49% 300 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Yes 22% 1,000 shares
Warriors vs. Rockets

Warriors 44% 200 shares
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Yes 7% 1,800 shares
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Yes 15% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?

Yes 65.9% 146.55 shares
Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?

Yes 71.5% 251.02 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?

Yes 1.6% 1,200 shares
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Yes 8% 500 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Yes 0.4% 35.33 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Yes 11.1% 1,761.34 shares