Polymarket Trader

Monopoly_Money

0x7ea7bcd658a253bfa78618a8e127cc73b54879ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $55.44K
Realized PnL: $268.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $26.82K
Potential payout: $161.07K
Potential profit: $134.25K
Multiplier: 6.01x
User PnL: -$12.27K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76K
Potential profit: $76K
User PnL: -$14.4K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.46K
Potential profit: $26.46K
User PnL: -$18.3K

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $826.33
Potential payout: $19.04K
Potential profit: $18.21K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $39.03

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $4.54K
Potential payout: $18.73K
Potential profit: $14.19K
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$439.91

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $17.27K
Potential profit: $13.91K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$4.48K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.2K
Potential profit: $16.2K
User PnL: -$8.83K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.1K
Potential profit: $14.1K
User PnL: -$8.12K

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$5.65K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.28K
Potential profit: $7.28K
User PnL: -$1.56K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.24K
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $505.88
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $465.93

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.4K
Potential profit: $6.4K
User PnL: -$1.32K

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$3.83K

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.35K
Potential payout: $4.81K
Potential profit: $456.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $733.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$870

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $740.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $189.6

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.71K
User PnL: -$2.61K

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$379.99

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$87.1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $64.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $662.5
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$1.76K

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $310
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $440

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.07K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.88K

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.67K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.31K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51K

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.22K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.53K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9K

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59K

No position

US military action against Iran by Friday?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 27 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?

Ends Jun 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 6% 10,000 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

No 84.4% 1,694.06 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

No 90.1% 343.49 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

No 87.8% 1,142.63 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

No 90% 1,000 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 93.8% 108.85 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 94% 605 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 92.5% 2,169.56 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 64.8% 27.08 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 64% 97.2 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 64.1% 485.14 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 29% 100 shares