Yes position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
polyinit-241-092d3b
0x7eae8230379cee3bbc55129f59ab0d0c176e97f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.49
- Realized PnL
- $187.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $456.67
- Potential profit
- $456.67
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.67
- Potential profit
- $236.67
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $116.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $71.29
- Potential profit
- $70.04
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.44
- Potential profit
- $55.44
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $46.75
- Potential profit
- $44.74
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.78
- Potential profit
- $38.78
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Inner Circle position
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.18
- Potential profit
- $35.18
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $27.85
- Potential profit
- $23.12
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.61
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Team Yandex to win 2-0?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Virtus.pro position
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Murphy Cassone position
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Alliance position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Spain position
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
9z position
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Y
Yes position
Argentina leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $80k at auction?Yes 88.2% 5.26 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 68% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp 1% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETDown 97% 2.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 99% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 99% 2.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 99% 2.02 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 86% 2.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 87% 2.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 86% 2.33 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes 65% 7.69 shares