Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x7eAfe83596dDe2687Adfea4fE5FFE9F41197AEC9-1778645849381
0x7eafe83596dde2687adfea4fe5ffe9f41197aec9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.72
- Realized PnL
- $174.31
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $562.04
- Potential profit
- $561.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.78
- Potential profit
- $445.78
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.1
- Potential profit
- $204.1
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $118.25
- Potential profit
- $117.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.87
- Potential profit
- $110.87
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.1
- Potential profit
- $67.1
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.89
- Potential profit
- $50.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $31.96
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.83
- Potential profit
- $31.83
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $24.22
- Potential profit
- $24.15
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.38
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Yes position
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?Yes 3.6% 110.87 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 14.4% 13.89 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 10% 30 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 12.6% 31.75 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 87.6% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 52.63 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 182.07 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No 99.4% 8.77 shares