Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.81
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $28.19
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Polymarket Trader
0x7ebebf5fba5042134E7d63866603352F6b42a64D-1779648411651
0x7ebebf5fba5042134e7d63866603352f6b42a64d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.11
- Realized PnL
- $94.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.38
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $6.43
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Hong Kong have between 210-220mm of precipitation in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Over position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 37% 7.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?Yes 38% 7.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 40.4% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?Yes 76% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?Yes 31% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?Yes 40% 5 shares