Yes position
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
hugoseren2906
0x7ec77a186a8c4144a25bacdefe80372462f1fde6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $17.33
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.86
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will FC Porto win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 1.8% 13 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 5.1% 60 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 5.2% 128 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 33% 114 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 33% 181 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 43% 147 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 96% 37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 49% 7.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 74% 65 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 96.1% 50 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 13% 62 shares