No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $10.43K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $417.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $978.25
Polymarket Trader
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0x7ed1140899416c6715f1a583f8208190aa7e3b38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.6K
- Realized PnL
- $534.86
- Win rate
- 69.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.95K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $303.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $146.25
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $112.65
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $12.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $114.94
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.88
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.35
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.09
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.88
No position
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.02
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.31
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.66
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.18
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.85
No position
China x Philippines military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
No position
RedNote removed from App Store before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.71
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$70.42
No position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$108.8
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 120.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 80% 2,250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.5% 6,560.24 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 95% 6,891.45 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 84.6% 1,181.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 79% 1,898.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 78.8% 1,205.42 shares
- Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes 21% 140.84 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No 69.4% 144.18 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No 83.4% 119.85 shares