Polymarket Trader

ox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA

0x7ed3aed17a79c2a3375da27a9470b310585027aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $173.86
Realized PnL: $99.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.18
Potential payout: $951.43
Potential profit: $945.24
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $755.71
Potential profit: $750.8
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $584.44
Potential profit: $579.48
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $21.94
Potential payout: $226.16
Potential profit: $204.22
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: $18.63

No position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $161.35
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.89
Potential profit: $141.89
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $53.55
Potential payout: $57.28
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.89

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $49.23
Potential profit: $43.72
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.77
Potential profit: $46.77
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $45.05
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $39.01
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.6
Potential profit: $35.6
User PnL: -$32.25

No position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.75
Potential profit: $28.75
User PnL: -$2.93

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $24.77
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $15.52
Potential payout: $22.01
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $20.28
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $15.76
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $14.47
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $10.47
Potential profit: $3.92
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $10.36
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.23
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.58

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $3.54

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

No 47% 5 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

No 45% 5 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

No 45% 5 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?

Yes 1.1% 5 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?

Yes 1.6% 5 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

No 5% 4.51 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?

Yes 90.6% 45.6 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Yes 99% 5.04 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Yes 99% 5.04 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?

Yes 99% 5.04 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

No 68% 5.22 shares
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 3.6% 166 shares