Xxingxing

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.7K
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.63K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.5K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.02K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Liv Boeree win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $3.88K
User PnL: -$7.76

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$404.25

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

Sri Lanka position

Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Auger-Aliassime position

ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

UConn position

Air Force vs. UConn

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Hurricanes

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Sri Lanka position

Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.8

LOUD position

LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Erik Seidel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Grizzlies position

Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?