Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Polymarket Trader
0x7Ee4fE442C5b7fcFbdcAd499e3E0dE293FDb6832-1776191929358
0x7ee4fe442c5b7fcfbdcad499e3e0de293fdb6832
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.82
- Realized PnL
- $804.22
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $825.05
- Potential profit
- $825.05
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.42
- Potential profit
- $527.42
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $459.78
- Potential profit
- $459.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.33
- Potential profit
- $334.33
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.38
- Potential profit
- $266.38
- User PnL
- -$4.8
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.5
- Potential profit
- $227.5
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.19
- Potential profit
- $137.19
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $18.23
- Potential payout
- $135.06
- Potential profit
- $116.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $107.26
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$15.99
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $109.36
- Potential profit
- $104
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $35.82
- Potential profit
- $34.1
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.52
- Potential profit
- $27.52
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $342.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.25
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.51
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.6
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.87
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $32.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.68
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.93
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.8
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$15.35
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 49% 54.83 shares
- Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Yes 34% 182.92 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 28.1% 143.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 45% 166.66 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 74.5% 113.63 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 77% 126.58 shares
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No 40% 266.66 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 77.6% 100.7 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 89% 178.57 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 77.7% 170.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 128.2 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 88% 113.64 shares