Yes position
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $263.59
- Potential profit
- $257.79
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Polymarket Trader
limona
0x7ee52cdda7f89df8e9f740dae9b2c4463dcc1aaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.53
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $7.62
- Potential payout
- $224.09
- Potential profit
- $216.47
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.66
- Potential payout
- $157.5
- Potential profit
- $148.84
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $119.89
- Potential profit
- $114.97
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $114.11
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $39.29
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $36.88
- Potential profit
- $29.12
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $2.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 13.6% 36.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 6% 157.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.2% 119.05 shares
- Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 1.9% 263.59 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 4.2% 119.89 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No 2.2% 224.09 shares