N
No position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Polymarket Trader
prediction173
0x7ef8e7c9ce276bcf86f88ae8e76f10991c61382b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.6
- Realized PnL
- $11.08
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.08
N
No position
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
N
No position
Belgium to win the second half?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
United States position
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.8
N
No position
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Y
Yes position
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Belgium position
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Y
Yes position
Egypt leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
N
No position
United States leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Over position
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Over position
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
N
No position
Belgium leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
United States vs. Belgium: Second half draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 50% 5 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 59% 5 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 94.7% 5 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No 92% 5 shares
- Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?No 49% 5 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes 54% 5 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?No 78% 5 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 48% 5 shares