Yes position
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.79
- Potential profit
- $185.79
- User PnL
- -$30.18
Polymarket Trader
l492
0x7efb01aa9f01c2a02f028c7c543e5c08702f68a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.08
- Realized PnL
- $981.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.96
- Potential profit
- $175.96
- User PnL
- -$35.22
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $30.69
- Potential payout
- $170.5
- Potential profit
- $139.81
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $161.13
- Potential profit
- $160.89
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.89
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $157.85
- Potential profit
- $157.14
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Yes position
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $20.18
- Potential payout
- $155.2
- Potential profit
- $135.02
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $139.69
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$18.09
Yes position
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $33.08
- Potential payout
- $147.03
- Potential profit
- $113.94
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $8.89
- Potential payout
- $136.73
- Potential profit
- $127.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.73
- Potential profit
- $136.73
- User PnL
- -$15.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.65
- Potential profit
- $134.65
- User PnL
- -$15.35
Yes position
Will OL Lyonnes vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.55
- Potential profit
- $134.55
- User PnL
- -$15.04
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.19
- Potential profit
- $129.19
- User PnL
- -$18.92
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.17
- Potential profit
- $129.17
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $127.88
- Potential profit
- $125.38
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Yes position
Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.45
- Potential profit
- $127.45
- User PnL
- -$20.46
Yes position
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $122.79
- Potential profit
- $112.36
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.05
- Potential profit
- $122.05
- User PnL
- -$35.75
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $121.57
- Potential profit
- $111.67
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
No position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.06
- Potential profit
- $119.06
- User PnL
- -$15.12
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.31
- Potential profit
- $116.31
- User PnL
- -$15.12
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $115.14
- Potential profit
- $113.82
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $19.82
- Potential payout
- $113.25
- Potential profit
- $93.43
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $4.32
No position
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.43
- Potential profit
- $112.43
- User PnL
- -$15.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.95
Over position
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.02
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.92
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.67
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.11
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.86
No position
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.69
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.75
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.47
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.89
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.45
No position
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.41
No position
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
Kiwoom DRX Challengers position
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Yes position
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.22
No position
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 85% 12.81 shares
- Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No 66% 16.5 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes 16% 127.88 shares
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?No 66.4% 31.32 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?Yes 54% 20.16 shares
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?No 86.1% 24.13 shares
- Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No 84% 12.96 shares
- Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 86% 24.17 shares
- Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?No 48% 42.88 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 71.3% 15.28 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 38% 53.26 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?No 76% 27.36 shares