Polymarket Trader

0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836

0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.06K
Realized PnL: $1.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $15.83
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.58

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $908.67
Potential payout: $949
Potential profit: $40.33
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $596.39
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $3.6
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $585.93
Potential payout: $593.95
Potential profit: $8.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $524.62
Potential payout: $567.16
Potential profit: $42.54
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519
Potential profit: $519
User PnL: -$342.54

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $394.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.2

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.28
Potential profit: $399.28
User PnL: -$48.61

Yes position

Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $291.75
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $25.75

No position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $142.8
Potential payout: $291.43
Potential profit: $148.63
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$61.16

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.12
Potential profit: $218.12
User PnL: -$46.13

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $205.69
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $181.8
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Will Aarón Caricol lead Serie A in assists during the 2025-26 season?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$170

No position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $156
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $44
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $184.89
Potential payout: $186.01
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $13.13
Potential payout: $165.17
Potential profit: $152.04
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $9.83

No position

Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $159.92
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $159.73
Potential profit: $153.58
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $114.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $35.25
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$118.43

Yes position

Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $149.39
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.97
Potential profit: $138.97
User PnL: -$2.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.6

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.35

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.37

No position

Will Boston Celtics advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.51

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.47

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.47

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.8

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.39

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.88

76ers position

Nets vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.8

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.12

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Celtics position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.51

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.5

No position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.51

No position

Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.2

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.62

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Nets

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.83

Suns position

Suns vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.06

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Pelicans position

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99% 726.8 shares
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97.7% 250 shares
Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 99% 160 shares
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

No 99.1% 206 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 92.1% 52.41 shares
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 5 shares
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 50 shares
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 95% 167.16 shares
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

No 87% 10 shares
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 11% 70 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

No 81% 70.87 shares
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Yes 46.5% 18.07 shares