No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $151.49
- Potential payout
- $171.17
- Potential profit
- $19.68
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $67.61
Polymarket Trader
0x7f1c...d812
0x7f1c535fdf23a7b6e43806e79c0d00dc2316d812
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $246.64
- Realized PnL
- $399.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $104.89
- Potential profit
- $104.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.65
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $20.66
- Potential payout
- $24.75
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $20.44
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.19
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.11
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $9.76
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Carlos Alcaraz position
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.68
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.05
Suns position
Raptors vs. Suns
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.29
Y
Yes position
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Qinwen Zheng position
Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
Mariano Navone position
Cap Cana: Mattia Bellucci vs Mariano Navone
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Murphy Cassone position
Miami Open, Qualification: Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yulia Starodubtseva position
Miami Open, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Yulia Starodubtseva
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?Yes 1% 68.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 7?No 82% 10.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?No 98% 0.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 7?Yes 29.1% 5.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?No 97% 20.44 shares
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 9.03 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.8% 37 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes 4.8% 1,129.61 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.1% 6.26 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.1% 30.74 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 85% 3.09 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 85% 7.72 shares